Housing Market Continues to See First-Time Buyer
Latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Survey Reveals
WASHINGTON DC (August 23) –
First-time homebuyers continued to desert the housing market in July,
according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Monthly Survey
of Real Estate Market Conditions. First-time homebuyers accounted for
only 39.1% of the home purchase market last month, down from a peak of
48.2% as recently as March and the lowest level seen in at least a year.
“The end of the tax credit
has clearly had an effect,” stated Thomas Popik, research director for
Campbell Surveys. “First-time homebuyer participation is continuing to
drop. We expect a further decline in first-time homebuyer activity,
perhaps reaching as low as 30-35% of the market by the fall months.”
With homeowners continuing
to fall behind on their mortgages, and more distressed properties coming
on the market, first-time homebuyers serve the function of soaking up
this excess inventory. In contrast, purchases by current homeowners have
little positive effect of the housing inventory, because they usually
sell a house at the same time they are buying another.
Fewer first-time homebuyers
in the housing market will likely put downward pressure on home prices
in the late summer and fall. However, in the near-term, real estate
agents reported stable prices overall for the month of July and rising
prices for non-distressed properties.
“Once the ‘free’ money (from
the federal tax credit) was over, the market began to die. The sales
that would have normally taken place over the summer took place in March
and April to get the money. The residential market is dying—prices are
gradually falling,” reported a real estate agent in Iowa.
pricing is rising too quickly. Anticipated REOs (foreclosed properties)
coming on the market will impact this pricing by the end of September,”
predicted another agent in Florida.
Short sales remain one of
the few bright spots in the residential housing market. Time on market
for short sales continued to decline, from an average of 20.5 weeks in
February to 15.8 weeks in July. Significantly, first-time homebuyers
made up a healthy 46.4% of short sale purchasers last month.
The Campbell/Inside Mortgage
Finance Monthly Survey of Real Estate Market Conditions surveys more
than 3,000 real estate agents nationwide each month and provides
up-to-date intelligence on home sales and mortgage usage patterns.
For more information
on the survey contact: John Campbell at Campbell Surveys, (202)